Rain, more rain, and Joaquin.

3+ inches of rain possible between now and Friday.

Next week, possibly Joaquin.

Tonight's storm: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/WxBriefing_FB.pdf

Joaquin as of now. Still very early days.

max_weisenfeld said:
3+ inches of rain possible between now and Friday.

Thank goodness!

My lawn is so dry that I hope this rain comes very slowly, or else we are going to be sending most of the topsoil down the storm sewers.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
412 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-300930-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
412 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING OF
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL INTO WEDNESDAY MAY PRODUCE
MINOR FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK INTO THIS
WEEKEND WHICH COULD BRING ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS. THIS RAIN
MAY BE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL SYSTEM THAT IS FORECAST TO
TRACK SOMEWHERE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THIS SYSTEM FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

Bring it

Our rainfall deficit is over 7" I believe. Hope we don't make it all up in one or two days, but this is sure welcome news if it has a chance to sink into the aquifer.

We need rain desperately. My nephew's name is Joaquin so I'll enjoy hearing it the next week or so and maybe it'll help the masses know how to pronounce his name finally!

I'm wondering if it is too late for some portions of my parched brown lawn, but looking forward to badly needed rain!

NOT looking forward to impacts on my basement... and I have to be away Friday through Sunday so I won't even be able to monitor the situation until I get home... where's my Valium?

We were driving with friends past some of the far northern NJ reservoirs. It was stunning to see how low the water levels are.

Chances are that most basements won't be affected because the ground is so dry and the water table low. (knock on wood!) We didn't get any water in our basement from Hurricane Sandy despite having a lot and home that normally have a lot of underground water and require sump pump and french drains that didn't operate without power because it was quite dry before that storm. Our sump pump has been "resting" for months now and the pit is bone dry.

I hope you're right, sac. We are forecast to get a lot of rain before Joaquin even reaches us (if it does). In my house we have problems when the ground is saturated and the rate of rainfall is very heavy in terms of inches per hour. When it's falling too fast for the ground to absorb it quickly, that's when it ends up in my basement...

We just had a hole in our roof patched by Dave DeCastro. Here's hoping it does the trick.

deborahg said:
We just had a hole in our roof patched by Dave DeCastro. Here's hoping it does the trick.

Dave is the man. But you still want to watch the area and maybe have buckets handy. Sometimes a repair takes several visits

We just had our stoop removed today and the front of our house opened up so repair work on our sill plate can be done. I know we badly need the rain, but the timing is not good

sac said:
Chances are that most basements won't be affected because the ground is so dry and the water table low. (knock on wood!) We didn't get any water in our basement from Hurricane Sandy despite having a lot and home that normally have a lot of underground water and require sump pump and french drains that didn't operate without power because it was quite dry before that storm. Our sump pump has been "resting" for months now and the pit is bone dry.

Have you dumped in some water to test it?

annesimms said:
The concerns with so much rain after a drought, like we've had, is that the ground cannot adequately soak it up. It hits the hard, packed, dry earth and runs off (yes, into our basements!). So keep a close eye on sump pumps etc.

Well, if that's the case I may not have so much to worry about, because my property is pretty well graded... We've had several really bad storms where I watched the backyard fill up starting at the back and creeping gradually toward the house.

The latest NHC advisory, as of 11 a.m. this morning, shows the track of the storm slowing down, reaching a point offshore of the North Carolina coast on Sunday morning...

Are we worried about SNOW yet?

BubbaTerp said:
Are we worried about SNOW yet? ">

If the sidewalks aren't shoveled by Monday, I'm naming and shaming.

Laughing but will be crying soon when the snow comes and Max gives us the bad news (though he's JUST the messenger of course)

ridski said:

BubbaTerp said:
Are we worried about SNOW yet? ">

If the sidewalks aren't shoveled by Monday, I'm naming and shaming.

BubbaTerp said:
"> Laughing but will be crying soon when the snow comes and Max gives us the bad news (though he's JUST the messenger of course)

ridski said:

BubbaTerp said:
Are we worried about SNOW yet? ">

If the sidewalks aren't shoveled by Monday, I'm naming and shaming.

Yeah, me too. Though not really. If it rains all weekend I'll have to rent a car as mine's headed south.

mrincredible said:

sac said:
Chances are that most basements won't be affected because the ground is so dry and the water table low. (knock on wood!) We didn't get any water in our basement from Hurricane Sandy despite having a lot and home that normally have a lot of underground water and require sump pump and french drains that didn't operate without power because it was quite dry before that storm. Our sump pump has been "resting" for months now and the pit is bone dry.

Have you dumped in some water to test it?

No, but that might be a good idea.

Oy, this rain. Will it ever stop?!?!?

mrincredible said:
Oy, this rain. Will it ever stop?!?!?

Not till the grass is greener on the other side.

Er, how are things supposed to look on Thursday? We are planning on a trip to Long Island by ferry, coming back Friday. Stupid idea?

I can safely talk about now through tomorrow evening.

Rain, heavy at times, cold be 2 - 3" or more. Heaviest rain tonight after midnight. There is a chance of some localized severe rainfall, perhaps a couple of serious thunderstorms.

After that it is more of a crapshoot. A blocking high is going to set up over Quebec, and with Joaquin to the south and a ridging high in the middle, it is possible it will pump more of this lovely moist tropical air you experienced this afternoon through the system. Some of that moisture will fall, but how much is, at this point, anyone's guess.

All that is before we actually have to deal with Joaquin, which at this time looks to be Sunday at the earliest.

NWS Briefing from this afternoon. Check out the last slide.

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/WxBriefing_FB.pdf

If I am not mistaken, this link will update whenever they update the briefing, so you can keep checking it, if you are so inclined.

Looks like the drought conditions might ease a bit.