Flash Flood Watch today and tonight

Flash Flood Watch today and tonight.

Heavy rain after noon today lasting into tonight, with 1.5" to 2.0" potential rainfall, more if thunderstorms develop as the two fronts pull through.  This is likely to affect the afternoon rush hour.

Thanks Max!

My husband is claiming that the weather for later today is supposedly the type that can suddenly create tornadoes.  However, his weather information in the past has been alarmist and somewhat exaggerated, to say the least.

I'm not sure what source he received it from.  And I think that spending his college years in Oklahoma may have something to do with his worry of tornadoes.  Not that they're impossible here, but they're much less likely than in Oklahoma.

How much validity is there to the information he received.

There is a small risk of rotation, waterspouts, or small tornadoes, but mostly off the south shore of Long Island.  I would not worry at all around here, but would keep one eye on my phone for a severe thunderstorm warning.  Do not depend on me, I am going to be offline this afternoon.

ETA by small, I mean really, really unlikely in our area.

max_weisenfeld said:

There is a small risk of rotation, waterspouts, or small tornadoes, but mostly off the south shore of Long Island.  I would not worry at all around here, but would keep one eye on my phone for a severe thunderstorm warning.  Do not depend on me, I am going to be offline this afternoon.




ETA by small, I mean really, really unlikely in our area.

I kinda thought that.  His "source" was one of those who was predicting 10 feet of snow when you were saying we would get 1-2 inches, and you were right more often than not.

They're not quite making it up, just editing out some important facts.  And in their defense, it is in the NWS forecast discussion:

With the warm front across the area and strong
directional and speed shear, the coastal areas of NYC and Long
Island will need to be monitored closely as the warm ocean
waters may locally support cells capable of rotation and
perhaps a brief waterspout/tornado.

max_weisenfeld said:

They're not quite making it up, just editing out some important facts.  And in their defense, it is in the NWS forecast discussion:

With the warm front across the area and strong
directional and speed shear, the coastal areas of NYC and Long
Island will need to be monitored closely as the warm ocean
waters may locally support cells capable of rotation and
perhaps a brief waterspout/tornado.

No, not making it up, but most certainly exaggerating the risk.  From what he heard he wanted me to stay at home with the kids so we wouldn't be caught out if a tornado hit.