Flood Watch National Weather Service New York NY 314 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067-069-180900- /O.NEW.KOKX.FA.A.0010.240818T0600Z-240819T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- Orange-Rockland- 314 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, including the following areas, Eastern Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson, Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic and Western Union and southeast New York, including the following areas, Orange and Rockland. * WHEN...From 2 AM EDT Sunday through late Sunday night. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Moderate to heavy rainfall at times has the potential to produce scattered areas of flash flooding, along with urban and poor drainage flooding. Rainfall rate are expected to be around 1 inch per hour, and possibly as high as 2 inches per hour. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Sunday Aug 18
A Flood Watch remains in effect for today and tonight although the risk of flooding is less than when the watch was issued Friday
Isolated to scattered showers and possibly thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight still carry a possibility of sudden heavy downpours that, although of short duration, might overwhelm drainage on roads and cause local flooding
The risk is that a string of showers/storms might develop and repeatedly rain on the same place. This is not likely, but should it occur, that one location and surroundings are more likely to be overwhelmed. This is also impossible to accurately forecast much in advance, therefore the regional (NJ and Hudson Valley) Flood Watch
More showers and thunderstorms Monday are not expected at this time to carry as high a possibility of heavy rain and could continue into Tuesday morning
An inch or so more and our neighborhood would be back to Ida-level flooding. Are we expecting more rain overnight?
ETA: not sure how well these came out, but this was taken from directly behind my house. One of the boons of having waterfront property I guess
ridski said:
An inch or so more and our neighborhood would be back to Ida-level flooding. Are we expecting more rain overnight?
ETA: not sure how well these came out, but this was taken from directly behind my house. One of the boons of having waterfront property I guess
maybe you should invest in a couple more rain barrels.
I was wondering if that downpour kept up with that level of water we might very well be seeing flooding like Ida. Thank goodness it’s taking a break, but another batch is coming through in about an hour or so.
People shouldn’t be driving around if they really don’t need to be out.
Monday, Aug 19th
This morning, rain has moved off to the east for the moment. Some local disruption may remain from last night's flooding, check your commute.
Mixed clouds and sun this morning likely gives way to another round of showers later this afternoon. While not expected to be as widespread or intense as yesterday, the current wet conditions mean the bar is lower today so another thunderstorm wouldn't take as much to cause more flooding than it otherwise might. Although the forecast is only "showers likely" this afternoon and evening, please pay attention to possible alerts.
In general, a shift to a westerly wind starts to dry out the airmass, and so tomorrow, although still a bit unstable, is likelier to be dry, with little or no chance of a shower. Breezy, with mild temperatures
The rest of the week is shaping up to be mild and dry, with mostly clear skies, temperatures in the high 70⁰s to low 80⁰s and low humidity
That was some rain last night. What is the total for the weekend? My gauge says 4 inches (3 in two hours last night) but I might be getting some splash off of the roof.
Just hoping the rain will hold off long enough for the concrete patch I applied this morning to dry, and for me to scrape the barnacles off the siding before we put to sea again.
JerseyJack has been working with volunteer work crews to upgrade the board walks in the Great Swamp for the past several years...
Well one MAJOR rainstorm and 6 or 7 feet of raging flood water later...
Scully said:
JerseyJack has been working with volunteer work crews to upgrade the board walks in the Great Swamp for the past several years...
Well one MAJOR rainstorm and 6 or 7 feet of raging flood water later...
Oh that doesn’t sound great.
We had about 2 pints of water that somehow got into our basement. I thought I had taken care of all the problem spots, but it was an exceptional amount of rain.
Scully said:
JerseyJack has been working with volunteer work crews to upgrade the board walks in the Great Swamp for the past several years...
Well one MAJOR rainstorm and 6 or 7 feet of raging flood water later...
and some very big trees that fell…
We will be working on this tomorrow
The bottom photo is of the exposed steel beams that supported the wooden bridge over "Silver Brook." These were probably set up by a farmer who owned the land and was used to carry farm equipment over the brook. It looks like the water did not move the beams so we have that to be thankful for,
Jaytee said:
and some very big trees that fell…
That looks like the Great Swamp. I volunteer at the Great Swamp Watershed Association property. It feeds the GS and is about five miles from the federal property.
Our biggest effort is in taking an average of 3,000 elementary and middle school students into our swamp and focusing on the components of the ecosystem,
tjohn said:
That was some rain last night. What is the total for the weekend? My gauge says 4 inches (3 in two hours last night) but I might be getting some splash off of the roof.
NOUS41 KOKX 191508 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-200308- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 1108 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2024 ...STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Essex County... Livingston 4.44 in 0945 AM 08/19 CWOP Livingston Twp 2.0 NNE 4.15 in 0747 AM 08/19 COCORAHS Maplewood 3.86 in 0700 AM 08/19 COCORAHS CEDAR GROVE 3.82 in 0941 AM 08/19 CWOP 0.6 SW Caldwell 3.52 in 0945 AM 08/19 IFLOWS West Caldwell 3.31 in 0950 AM 08/19 CWOP West Orange 3.19 in 0941 AM 08/19 CWOP Caldwell 3.15 in 0953 AM 08/19 ASOS Caldwell 3.00 in 0700 AM 08/19 COCORAHS Millburn 2.87 in 0615 AM 08/19 CWOP 1.6 W Millburn 2.84 in 0915 AM 08/19 HADS Orange Reservoir 2.72 in 0900 AM 08/19 IFLOWS 1 W Newark 2.21 in 0950 AM 08/19 AWS Fairfield 2.20 in 0955 AM 08/19 AWS
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Saturday Aug 17
The NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch for our area beginning in the early hours of tomorrow, Sunday, and lasting all day and into Sunday night
A front coming from the Great Lakes region is likely to bring showers and scattered thunderstorms into our area tonight and tomorrow. Within scattered storms, total rainfall over the 24 hour watch period could exceed 2.5 inches, and that might prompt fast-reacting stream to flood, and also road and field ponding. Other areas not directly hit by the storms would more likely see 1.5 to 2 inches and minimal flooding.
Note, this has nothing to do with Ernesto
From the NWS: "Turn Around Don't Drown®"Each year, more deaths occur due to flooding than from any other thunderstorm related hazard. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention report that over half of all flood-related drownings occur when a vehicle is driven into hazardous flood water. The next highest percentage of flood-related deaths is due to walking into or near flood waters. People underestimate the force and power of water. Many of the deaths occur in cars swept downstream. Many of these drownings are preventable. Never drive around the barriers blocking a flooded road. The road may have collapsed under that water. A mere 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock over an adult. It takes just 12 inches of rushing water to carry away most cars and just 2 feet of rushing water can carry away SUVs and trucks. It is NEVER safe to drive or walk into flood waters."